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March/April 1997 | Contents
needed: early warnings
excerpts From "PREVENTIVE DIPLOMACY AND THE MEDIA," by Michael J. O'Neill, AN ESSAY IN PREVENTIVE DIPLOMACY: STOPPING WARS BEFORE THEY START, edited Kevin M. Cahill, M.D. Basic Books. 370 PP. $25.
O'Neill was editor of the New York Daily News from 1975 to 1982. What the electronic acceleration of history means is that troubling new trends must be caught at much earlier stages if there is to be any chance of altering their course and affecting outcomes. Whether it is exploding populations and vast intercontinental migrations, endemic poverty or a painful redefinition of labor by computers, problems cannot be left to fester until they are turned into disasters and then uncontrollable violence. The politics of reaction and crisis management needs to give way to a new system that assigns its highest priority to social detection and prevention. Preventive politics. Preventive diplomacy. And yes, preventive journalism. A systematic and continuing effort to patrol ahead for causes before they become results, to attack problems in the deepest recesses of society before they grow into political strife and then explosions. |
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